Has looked 800 real movies, but has not found any track

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Valar
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Location: Ukraine, Kiev

Has looked 800 real movies, but has not found any track

Post by Valar »

For all this time I did not see any track similar to those that from calibration movies. It is normal?

My stat:
Calibration Movies Answered Correctly: 274
Calibration Movies Answered Incorrectly: 6
Your Overall Score: 268
Total Real Movies Viewed: 800
Your Rank: 464 out of 7172
Specificity: 100%
Sensitivity: 96%
Blarrrg
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Post by Blarrrg »

Have you seen anything similar to this?
Because that's what some people suspect it might look like.
icestation
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Post by icestation »

its absolutly normal , the entire aerogel is supposed to contains just about 47 real traks of real stardust particles , so 47 in millions of movies .
Sharqua
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Post by Sharqua »

Blarrrg wrote:Have you seen anything similar to this?
Because that's what some people suspect it might look like.
I would mark that particle just northeast of center, as it is clearly below the surface. This is a "just in case" situation.

-Shar
Valar
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Location: Ukraine, Kiev

Post by Valar »

Blarrrg wrote:Have you seen anything similar to this?
Because that's what some people suspect it might look like.
It is more similar to a particle.
icebike

Post by icebike »

Valar wrote:
Blarrrg wrote:Have you seen anything similar to this?
Because that's what some people suspect it might look like.
It is more similar to a particle.
There are several sub-surface particles in that movie.

Tracks lead to particles. Tracks are easier to find than particles.

But The whole point is to find these dust particles.

BUT BACK TO THE TOPIC:

I would think, based on personal expierence, that going thru 900 movies an not finding ANY suspects is ODD. Most people find 5 or 10 with in the first 400.
beetlenaut
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Post by beetlenaut »

Valar did say "similar to those from calibration movies."

Assuming that the real tracks are just like the calibration movies, THAT would be normal. According to predictions, there would only be one track every 15,000 movies.
studebaker
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Post by studebaker »

They estimate 45 or so tracks in the entire collector array, out of roughly a million focus movies. It's not at all odd that you haven't found anything after looking at 900 movies. You should probably have seen some wacky inclusion thing that you might have flagged.

Some other poster here had a movie he suggested contained three tracks in it. The odds are overwhelmingly against that...
icebike

Post by icebike »

studebaker wrote:They estimate 45 or so tracks in the entire collector array, out of roughly a million focus movies.
I wonder how good the estimates are?

One of the dustmods fessed up that the training movies were taken from other sources because at the time they were put together there were no actual tracks discovered yet.

So that implies the estimates were based on back-of-the-envelope calculations, using data from all the prior comet tail missions.

Oh, wait a minute.... That would be Zero prior missions, wouldn't it? :shock:
gamalmfalyii
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Post by gamalmfalyii »

icebike wrote: Oh, wait a minute.... That would be Zero prior missions, wouldn't it? :shock:
Indeed, I think it's a gambler's game trying to pick out the real deal compared to high velocity particles being shot into "example" Aerogel by a machine. I guess we'll know what the real tracks will look like once we have some official comment from the team. You know, once they figure out how to fix the certificates/scoreboard/events page/lame.
"She said a good day
ain't got no rain
She said a bad day's when I lie in bed
and think of things that might have been"
DustBuster
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Post by DustBuster »

icebike wrote:One of the dustmods fessed up that the training movies were taken from other sources because at the time they were put together there were no actual tracks discovered yet.
Actually, that information is from the first page of the tutuorial.
It's all uncharted science, including the method of scanning using the VM and volunteers. The estimates to do this using traditional scientific staff were around 20 years- so I guess they figured no matter what the difficulties in getting this off the ground, it would still be done in a fraction of that time frame.
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